The probability that the National Bureau of Economic Research will someday determine a national recession began in the U.S. between December 2025 and December 2026 has fallen below twenty percent.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said some sectors were in a recession as he argued for more interest rate cuts. By Alan Rappeport and Colby Smith Alan Rappeport covers the U.S. Treasury Department.

Parts of the US economy, particularly housing, may already be in recession because of high interest rates, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Sunday, repeating his call for the Federal Reserve to ...

It often seems that economists are perpetually warning us about the next U.S. recession. One influential analyst says an economic slowdown is already a fact of life for many Americans. Twenty-two ...

An analysis from Moody's Analytics shows 21 states and the District of Columbia are currently in a recession. Sixteen states, such as Texas, Florida and Pennsylvania, are experiencing economic growth.

If you’re confused about whether the U.S. economy in a recession, near a recession or doing OK, you’re not alone. Turns out the answer may depend on where you live, according to Moody’s Analytics ...

Mississippi is among states considered to be on the brink of a recession or already in one, according to analysis from Moody’s Analytics economist Mark Zandi. Twenty-one states and the District of ...

September, historically a key month for shipping ahead of the holiday season, is usually a boom one inside the freight business and supply chain. This year, though, data from inside the transportation ...

The U.S. economy is likely already in a recession, masked by AI-driven capex and delayed official recognition by the NBER. The Leading Economic Index and jobs data are flashing clear recession signals ...

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The U.S. has not been in an economic recession since 2022. The last recession was in 2020, at the very start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The National Bureau of Economic Research, a nonprofit, ...