The Treasury yield curve aids in predicting economic trends and interest rates. Gain insights into its impact on investment strategies.

Discover what a normal yield curve is and how it affects your investments. This curve shows lower yields for short-term debt and can indicate future interest rate trends.

The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019 on Thursday, sending a possible warning signal that a recession could be on the horizon. The bond market phenomenon means ...

ORLANDO, Fla., June 2 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen this week issued a 'mea culpa' on getting it wrong on inflation. If the economy tips into recession in the next year or two, the ...

U.S. Treasury yield curve steepens as the 2s10s spread hits its widest since 2022—what it signals for Fed policy, inflation and growth.

Building on Ben Bernanke’s widely used recession probability model, we invented a better model using exactly the same ...

As of early March 2025, investors—and consumers—have once again begun to feel skittish about the possibility of an impending recession. At least two major factors have contributed most recently to ...

January 2026 layoffs hit highest level since 2009 as job openings fall, housing market weakens, and credit stress builds nationwide.

Yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes slid below those on two-year notes on Wednesday, delivering a reliable recession signal and sending shudders through global financial markets. Other sections of ...

It’s hard not to constantly think about the economy these days, what with inflation and tariffs everywhere. Are we heading into a recession? We examined the insights of financial experts, who reveal ...

There are certain words you don’t want to hear in a medical checkup or in an investment bank’s recession outlook: “stable but elevated.” It’s a phrase that could refer to blood pressure, even risk of ...