The Treasury yield curve aids in predicting economic trends and interest rates. Gain insights into its impact on investment strategies.

Discover what a normal yield curve is and how it affects your investments. This curve shows lower yields for short-term debt and can indicate future interest rate trends.

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

TYA is a rather simple approach to investing in the intermediate part of the yield curve sized in an amount that gives it longer-term Treasury duration. The intermediate part (or belly) of the yield ...

In my 50-plus years of running money, I’ve noticed that the biggest market moves come from factors that have gone unnoticed – and right now, there’s a doozy lurking under the table. Amid all the ...

As explained in Prof. Robert Jarrow’s book cited below, forward rates contain a risk premium above and beyond the market’s expectations for the 3-month forward rate. We document the size of that risk ...