Discover what a normal yield curve is and how it affects your investments. This curve shows lower yields for short-term debt and can indicate future interest rate trends.

My last article on AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) was published a bit more than a month ago. To wit, that article was titled "AGNC Investment: Let Your Profits Run" and was published on February 11, ...

It has become increasingly obvious that Kevin Warsh was Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s choice. Warsh has called for a closer relationship between the Fed and the Treasury Department. Specifically, ...

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

Last week was a big week for markets, as the trade war that everyone has been warning about has finally arrived. Despite what some of our most epic posters might tell you, the trade war is not off ...

Learn how riding the yield curve can boost your bond investment returns by profiting from declining yields before maturity. Understand yield curve strategies today.

Yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes slid below those on two-year notes on Wednesday, delivering a reliable recession signal and sending shudders through global financial markets. Other sections of ...

The bond market shows unusual "bear steepening," where long-term yields rise faster than short-term, hinting at potential economic shifts despite no recession signs. Treasury yields consist of three ...