Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields and spreads. Read the latest update in the article series, as of February 6, 2026.

U.S. Treasury yields moved higher Wednesday in response to January job creation that was more than double what Wall Street ...

As explained in Prof. Robert Jarrow’s book cited below, forward rates contain a risk premium above and beyond the market’s expectations for the 3-month forward rate. We document the size of that risk ...

The 10-year Treasury yield was little changed Monday as investors looked ahead to a flurry of economic data, including the ...

The Treasury yield curve aids in predicting economic trends and interest rates. Gain insights into its impact on investment strategies.

Long-dated U.S. Treasury yields will hold steady in the near term but rise later this year on inflation and Federal Reserve independence concerns, while short-dated yields edge down on Federal Reserve ...

The US dollar index edged higher, making dollar-priced metals more expensive for other currency holders. Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield rebounded from a near one-month low of 4.125 ...