Teams with Lock status have at least a 95% chance to make the tournament, according to the BPI forecast. (Yes, this means that 5% of the time, a team marked as a lock will miss the tourney. We set the threshold there as a nod to the traditional standard for significance testing.)

Here's a look at how the NCAA Tournament bracket projects as men's college basketball heads into late February. Who's in, out and on the bubble?

The Quad 1 win, earned without the services of second-leading scorer Cam Hildreth, not only repaired the damage caused by the Florida State meltdown — it catapulted the Deacons up to No. 58 in the NCAA’s NET rankings. Eight spots higher than they started the week.

Once again, two of the top teams in the Atlantic-10 meet with second place on the line. The Patriots have won 11 straight games and are 13-2 in the conference. The Hawks lost to first-place Richmond last Thursday and are 11-3 in the league.

NCAA tournament bubble watch time, and several teams are fighting to earn one of the 37 at-large bids. At least temporarily, with the disbandment of the Pac-12, one more at-large bid is available this year.